Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.117741 0.129993 0.142541 0.156327 0.171019 0.186182 0.202986
2024-12-22 0.092459 0.110161 0.129223 0.151151 0.175557 0.201767 0.231921
2024-12-29 0.079946 0.101781 0.126317 0.155629 0.189395 0.226780 0.271009
2025-01-05 0.069948 0.094616 0.123415 0.158969 0.201129 0.248997 0.306910
2025-01-12 0.061547 0.088119 0.120254 0.161109 0.210797 0.268434 0.339491
2025-01-19 0.054085 0.081809 0.116481 0.161776 0.218140 0.284779 0.368297
2025-01-26 0.052372 0.082562 0.121266 0.172835 0.238062 0.316217 0.415286
2025-02-02 0.047487 0.078525 0.119459 0.175215 0.247014 0.334298 0.446300
2025-02-09 0.043710 0.075589 0.118749 0.178722 0.257196 0.353819 0.479129
2025-02-16 0.039139 0.071057 0.115494 0.178548 0.262426 0.367054 0.504208
2025-02-23 0.038101 0.071577 0.119101 0.187505 0.279517 0.395289 0.548132
2025-03-02 0.036561 0.071161 0.121270 0.194446 0.293975 0.420286 0.588210
2025-03-09 0.032860 0.067240 0.118434 0.194687 0.299973 0.435136 0.616502
2025-03-16 0.028372 0.061634 0.112807 0.190783 0.300297 0.442705 0.635770
2025-03-23 0.026868 0.060836 0.114273 0.196950 0.314376 0.468362 0.678518
2025-03-30 0.025055 0.059316 0.114505 0.201262 0.325920 0.490802 0.717357
2025-04-06 0.023050 0.057238 0.113702 0.203941 0.335155 0.510232 0.752450
2025-04-13 0.020864 0.054578 0.111774 0.204792 0.341732 0.526110 0.782993
2025-04-20 0.021242 0.056815 0.117852 0.217840 0.365797 0.565747 0.845126
2025-04-27 0.019664 0.055075 0.117263 0.220648 0.375217 0.585658 0.881382
2025-05-04 0.018450 0.053927 0.117565 0.224772 0.386532 0.608214 0.921304
2025-05-11 0.016625 0.051302 0.115182 0.224570 0.391479 0.622043 0.949657
2025-05-18 0.016620 0.052556 0.119541 0.235073 0.412220 0.657767 1.007586